USA vs Belgium Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds | WC 2026

Home » USA vs Belgium Prediction, Betting Tips & Odds | WC 2026

Competition – FIFA World Cup 2026

Round of 16: Tuesday, July 7, 2026

Kick-off – 3 am

Venue – Seattle Stadium, Seattle

*Winner faces the winner of Spain/Portugal, 

Why USA vs Belgium match matters

The United States of America’s best finish at the FIFA World Cup was a third place back then in 1934 almost a century ago. They have played at the global stage twelve times and their best finish in recent times was a quarterfinal appearance at the South Korea/Japan finals in 2002. They managed to reach the Round of 16 the last time they hosted in 1994 and repeated the same feat in South Africa 2010, Brazil 2014 and Qatar 2022. Now, this group of players led by their coach Mauricio Pochettino wants to chart a new path by matching and bettering the previous achievements on home soil in a tournament they’re co-hosting with Mexico and Canada as they celebrate their 250th year of independence. Nothing can be more inspiring than this.

American soil advantage

USA had a smooth start to the campaign, thrashing Paraguay 4-1 and Australia 2-0 before losing 2-0 to Turkey in a match that had no significance as they had already been confirmed as group winners. This ensured their knockout stage fixtures are played at home in front of their home crowds as the tournament progresses. For this match, they will be playing in front of a raucous 67,000 home crowd.  

Folarin Balogun and Malik Tillman ensured they cruised through Bosnia and Herzegovina with ease in the Round of 32 to reach this stage. That win made them the first USA team to win three matches at a single World Cup and a victory over Belgium will make them the first US team to reach the quarterfinals in 24 years.  

For this match, they will be without their striker Folarin Balogun who was controversially sent off in the 64th minute of their clash against Bosnia. Balogun has scored three goals.

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Wobbly Belgium come knocking

Belgium and America met in an international friendly last year with the European giants winning it 5-2 but the stakes in this match nullifies the significance of that result. Belgium themselves didn’t have an easy ride to this stage. They had to rely on Mohammed Hany’s own goal to snatch a point against Egypt and then were forced into a goalless draw against Iran but salvaged their tournament with a resounding 5-1 victory over New Zealand, with Arsenal forward Leandro Trossard grabbing a brace as Lukaku, De Bruyne and Saelemaekers adding to the scoresheet.

Habib Diarra and Ismail Sarr had put Senegal ahead by the 51st minute in the Round of 32 but Belgium staged a late comeback as Youri Tielemans and Lukaku struck in the 86th and 89th minutes to force the game into extra time before the former sealed the win in the additional minutes of extra time. Belgium performed that mini-miracle at the Lumen Field in Seattle, the same venue for this round of 16 tie and will hope for similar magic against the home crowd.

USA’s last five matches

  • 02.07.2026 – USA 2-0 Bosnia & Herzegovina
  • 26.06.2026 – Turkey 3-2 USA
  • 19.06.2026 – USA 2-0 Australia
  • 13.06.2026 – USA 4-1 Paraguay
  • 06.06.2026 – USA 1-2 Germany

Belgium’s last five matches

·        01.07.2026 – Belgium 3-2 Senegal (AET)

  • 27.06.2026 – New Zealand 1-5 Belgium
  • 21.06.2026 – Belgium 0-0 Iran
  • 15.06.2026 – Belgium 1-1 Egypt
  • 06.06.2026 – Belgium 5-0 Tunisia

Head-to-head results for USA vs Belgium

  • 28.03.2026 – USA 2-5 Belgium
  • 01.07.2014 – Belgium 2-1 USA (AET)
  • 30.05.2013 – USA 2-4 Belgium
  • 06.09.2011 – Belgium 1-0 USA
  • 25.02.1998 – Belgium 2-0 USA

Head-to-head summary

  • Belgium wins: 5
  • USA wins: 0
  • Draws: 0
  • Goals: Belgium 14-5 USA

Form guide

  • USA: W-L-W-W-L
  • Belgium: W-W-D-D-W

USA team news

Falorin Balogun was sent off in the last round against Bosnia and will be out of this game while the trio of Cristian Roldan, Mark McKenzie and Auston Trusty have minor injury concerns that may require late fitness tests. There are no more suspensions and injuries reported in the USA camp.

Key USA players to watch

Christian Pulisic is America’s most creative brain and remains key to their transitions and activity in the final third. Michael Freeman who plays for Villareal plays a key role in USA’s backline and is useful with those runs and crosses during attacks. He scored one goal in the group stages and will be key here. Ricardo Pepi has not scored for America yet but is expected to slot into Balogun’s boots.

Belgium team news

Romelu Lukaku has scored several goals for Belgium but his fitness makes him a doubt to feature a full 90 minutes and extras after an injury-prone season at Napoli.

There are no other concerns for Belgium in this game.

Key Belgium players to watch

34-year-old Kevin De Bruyne is the engine of Belgium’s midfield and a crucial factor in their attacking strategies. De Bruyne has already scored a goal and played all four of Belgium’s matches at this tournament.

Their captain, Youri Tielemans, grabbed the dramatic winning goal against Senegal from the spot and will be crucial in the midfield battle alongside Amadou Onana and De Bruyne.

Jeremy Doku’s pace and skills will be called to challenge USA’s wing backs and keep check them as he attempts to dribble into the box. Thibaut Courtis has made crucial saves already and will be called to action again to keep the American attacks at bay.

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Predicted starting lineups for USA vs Belgium

Argentina: Emiliano Martínez; Nahuel Molina-Cristian Romero-Lisandro Martínez-Nicolás Tagliafico; Rodrigo De Paul-Alexis Mac Allister-Enzo Fernández; Thiago Almada-Lionel Messi-Lautaro Martínez.

Egypt: Mostafa Shobeir; Mohamed Hany-Yasser Ibrahim-Rami Rabia-Ahmed Fatouh; Marwan Ateya-Emam Ashour; Mostafa Ziko-Mahmoud Trezeguet-Mohamed Salah; Omar Marmoush.

Best betting markets for USA vs Belgium

Match winner (90 mins) – Belgium to win

Total goals – Over 2.5 Goals

Both teams to score – YES

Anytime Goalscorer – Romelu Lukaku

Best bet – Belgium to win & both teams to score

Correct score prediction – USA 2-1 Belgium

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