Competition – FIFA World Cup 2026
Group F, Matchday 3: Friday, June 26, 2026
Kick-off – 2 am
Venue – Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri
Why Tunisia vs Netherlands match matters
On paper, Tunisia vs the Netherlands at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City looks like a dead rubber. Tunisia is already eliminated; their original manager was sacked after just one match, something that has happened at a World Cup for the first time in recent history. They have conceded nine goals in two games and yet, for the Netherlands, this match is anything but meaningless. Ronald Koeman’s side sit top of Group F on four points, level on every tiebreaker with Japan below them.
A Netherlands win by any margin confirms first place. But with the Japan vs Sweden result running simultaneously, the Dutch have strong reasons to hunt goals, push their goal difference and leave Kansas City as convincing group leaders. Three World Cup final appearances with zero victories weigh on the Dutch footballing soul, and winning with authority at every stage is part of how Koeman wants this squad to build momentum.
There is also the matter of Tunisia’s chaotic campaign providing Koeman with an ideal opportunity to rotate, rest key players ahead of the Round of 32 and still expect a professional three-point victory.
Read our World Cup predictions here: WORLD CUP OUTRIGHT PREDICTIONS
Chaotic Tunisian camp
Tunisia’s dismal 5-1 defeat at the hands of Sweden was reason enough for their FA to sack head coach Sabri Lamouchi after just 90 minutes in charge.
That set an unwanted record, becoming the first team to do that at a World Cup. His successor, Herve Renard, who has won two Africa Cup of Nations and managed Morocco and Saudi Arabia previously, had no answers for a rampant Japanese team that demolished Tunisia 4-0.
Their captain, Ellyes Skhiri, has publicly issued an apology to Tunisian supporters after the elimination. The team is in disarray off the pitch and outclassed on it.
This match offers some of the clearest betting signals of the entire group stage with a technically superior, motivated, goal-hungry Netherlands side against an already-eliminated team playing for nothing more than national pride.
Tunisia’s form guide: L-L-L-L-D
Tunisia’s last five matches
- 21.06.2026 – Tunisia 0-4 Japan
- 15.06.2026 – Sweden 5-1 Tunisia
- 06.06.2026 – Belgium 5-0 Tunisia
- 01.06.2026 – Austria 1-0 Tunisia
- 01.04.2026 – Canada 0-0 Tunisia
Goals scored – 1
Goals conceded – 15
Key trends from Tunisia’s recent matches
Tunisia is, without a doubt, the weakest side at the 2026 FIFA World Cup after losing their opening games 5-1 to Sweden and 4-0 to Japan to become the first team to be eliminated. That the North Africans are making their third consecutive appearance with nothing to show but a coaching menace is sad. They have conceded nine goals in just two matches but if anything, their poor preparations should have shed a spotlight on what their fans should have expected. They lost 1-0 to Austria, drew 0-0 with Canada before falling to a humiliating 5-0 defeat at the hands of Belgium. In the last five matches, they have scored only a single goal.
Netherlands’ form guide: W-D-W-L-D
The Netherlands ’ last five matches
- 20.06.2026 – Netherlands 5-1 Sweden
- 14.06.2026 – Netherlands 2-2 Japan
- 08.06.2026 – Netherlands 2-1 Uzbekistan
- 03.06.2026 – Netherlands 0-1 Algeria
- 31.03.2026 – Netherlands 1-1 Ecuador
Goals scored – 10
Goals conceded – 6
Key trends from Tunisia’s recent matches
Netherlands twice dropped their lead in the opening match against Japan as captain Van Dijk and Summerville gave them early second-half leads. But they recovered and thrashed Sweden 5-2 with Brian Brobbey scoring early in the 5th and 17th minutes, then Cody Gakpo’s early second-half brace in the 47th and 54 before Summerville added his second of the tournament in the 90th minute. Overall, the Dutch have won only two games in their last five, losing to Algeria and drawing 1-1 with Ecuador in the build-up and beating Uzbekistan 2-1.
They have scored ten goals, getting on the score sheet two or more times in their last three consecutive matches and have conceded a goal in all their last five fixtures.
Head-to-Head Results
- 11.02.2009 – Tunisia 1-1 Netherlands
- 19.01.1994 – Tunisia 2-2 Netherlands
In recent history, these two sides have met twice, with both ending in draws of 1-1 and 2-2, respectively. However, the last time they met was in February 2009 in the buildup to the 2010 FIFA World Cup, a match that has no significance beyond the historical facts.
Head-to-Head Summary
- Tunisia wins: 0
- Netherlands wins: 0
- Draws: 2
- Goals: Tunisia 3-3 Netherlands
Tunisia team news
There are no confirmed injuries or suspensions to record.
Netherlands team news
No Netherlands players are currently injured or suspended.
Key Dutch players to watch
Two goals against Sweden have cemented Gakpo’s place as the Netherlands’ most dangerous attacking outlet at this tournament. He scored twice in the 5-1 win with composed and clinical finishes, drifting from the left into central areas and giving the Netherlands a goal threat that Tunisia’s disorganised defence cannot consistently track.
Inter Milan’s Denzel Dumfries is the Netherlands’ highway to goal and Dumfries is the engine that drives it. Two assists against Sweden came from relentless overlapping runs that stretched Sweden’s defence to breaking point. Against Tunisia’s left side, Dumfries will expect even more freedom and his combination with whoever starts on the right wing, whether Malen, Summerville or Kluivert, gives the Dutch their most consistent attacking pattern.
READ HERE – World Cup Top Goalscorer Predictions
Tunisia Predicted XI: Aymen Dahmen-Yan Valery-Dylan Bronn-Montassar Talbi-Ali Abdi-Elias Achouri-Ellyes Skhiri-Anis Ben Slimane-Hannibal Mejbri-Firas Chaouat-Sebastian Tounekti.
Netherlands Tunisia Predicted XI: Bart Verbruggen-Denzel Dumfries-Virgil van Dijk-Jan Paul van Hecke-Micky van de Ven-Ryan Gravenberch-Frenkie de Jong-Donyell Malen-Tijjani Reijnders-Cody Gakpo-Brian Brobbey.
Best betting markets for Tunisia vs Netherlands
Match winner – Netherlands to win
Over/under goals – Over 3.5
Both teams to score – No
Anytime goalscorer – Cody Gakpo
Correct score prediction – Netherlands 4-0 Tunisia
Half-Time / Full-Time Prediction – Netherlands / Netherlands
Gals Sports Betting bet builder suggestion – Netherlands to win + Over 3.5 goals + Cody Gakpo anytime scorer + Netherlands more corners
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